DETERMINISTIC BLACKJACK — S-STAGE PLATE-READY VERIFIED MANIFEST
CODE VERSION: V9.2.52
SESSION: 13 | 20260917_183148
STATUS: PRE-RENDER VERIFIED INPUT SET — PLATE REMAINS PENDING UNTIL POST-RENDER AUDIT
PURPOSE: S has already prepared the candidate publication values so plate creation is a controlled layout/audit step, not a second data-discovery exercise.
AUTHORITY: current-session evidence and this S-generated manifest are numeric authority. Previous plates and Sessionplate_structure.zip are presentation precedent only.
ZERO IS DATA: never inherit a zero, N/A, score, status or number from a template.

================ OBSERVED / LIVE SESSION =================
MODE: HYBRID
Observed path: start £100.00 | final £0.00 | P/L -£100.00 | hands 14 | W/L/P 6/7/1 | exposure £495.00 | avg wager £35.36
Observed path extrema: peak £180.00 at hand 6 | trough £0.00 at hand 14 | maxDD £180.00 at hand 14
Observed synthetic-reference profile: N/A | requires a complete source-supported 30-hand observed path under the frozen scorecard equations

================ S-STAGE PUBLICATION TEMPLATE / MODULE SELECTION =================
TOP-SECTION TEMPLATE CLASS: STANDARD ARCHETYPE B — HYBRID / EVIDENCE-STATE / INCOMPLETE JOURNEY
PRIMARY TOP-SECTION PRECEDENT: HYBRID / EVIDENCE-STATE STANDARD (canonical seed reference: Session 10)
APPLICABILITY SCORE: Complete-observed standard = 3 | Hybrid/evidence-state standard = 11
SELECTION REASON: Evidence favours Hybrid/evidence-state treatment. Complete-observed applicability=3, Hybrid/evidence applicability=11, complete observed=false, action differences=12, wager differences=13.
MANDATORY EVIDENCE MODULES: HYBRID / EVIDENCE-STATE STANDARD MODULES: evidence-state/N/A/last-source-supported treatment, decision provenance/divergence where present, five-controller running P/L bar and protected lower interpretation area. Carry complete-observed score modules only when current evidence actually supports them.
MANDATORY GLOBAL MODULE: full-width five-controller running P/L bar and protected lower interpretation area whenever those controllers/evidence states are applicable.
SELECTION RULE: S classifies the current evidence against two standard publication archetypes, independent of the current Session number. Canonical Session 7 and Session 10 plates are seed whole-plate visual references for those archetypes only; Session 9 is a HYBRID-DETAIL MODULE reference when current Hybrid-vs-Frozen decision comparison evidence exists. None are numeric authority. Sessionplate_structure.zip is a fallback visual library only when the two standard accepted whole-plate archetype plates are not both available for the handoff.
PUBLICATION DENSITY CHECK: preserve the selected precedent's information density, canvas utilisation, typography scale, panel depth and graphical richness. Reject a sparse/generic reconstruction even when its numbers are correct. Do not optimise for small PNG file size; render at publication resolution.
COMPOSITION DIRECTIVE: PRIMARY BODY = HYBRID/EVIDENCE-STATE / SESSION-10 ARCHETYPE; ADD = COMPLETE-OBSERVED SCORE MODULES only where current evidence supports them; GLOBAL = FIVE-CONTROLLER RUNNING-P/L BAR; DO NOT CREATE A THIRD VISUAL ARCHETYPE.
CANONICAL GEOMETRY GATE: treat the primary archetype as the page skeleton, not loose inspiration. Preserve the accepted family's approximately 40% left / 20% centre / 40% right main-body hierarchy, icon-led metric cells, prominent bankroll arrow/summary, large Risk/Journey score boxes, dense full-width robustness table, and four equal-depth lower analysis panels. Hybrid additions must fit inside that skeleton or increase canvas height; they must not cause a new dashboard layout.
COMPONENT MAP GATE: before rendering, classify every visible module as SESSION-7 WHOLE-PLATE INHERITED, SESSION-10 WHOLE-PLATE INHERITED, SESSION-9 HYBRID-DETAIL MODULE INHERITED, or CURRENT-SESSION EVIDENCE SUBSTITUTION. Session 9 is module-only and must never become a third whole-plate archetype. If a module cannot be mapped to one of those categories, do not invent a new permanent panel unless current evidence makes it unavoidable.
VISUAL SIMILARITY GATE: before showing the image, compare it against both supplied canonical plates. It must be immediately recognisable as the same publication family by geometry, panel proportions, density, iconography, typography hierarchy, metric-cell structure, score prominence, table depth and lower-panel utilisation. Blue/white colour similarity alone is insufficient. A numerically correct but visibly redesigned or sparse plate is FAIL and must be rebuilt before user presentation.
USER VISUAL ACCEPTANCE BOUNDARY: user visual acceptance is final human UAT after autonomous evidence AND canonical-visual gates pass; it is not the first design-review stage.
Decision provenance: total 23 | textbook/frozen-aligned 23 | research overrides 0 | primary H11v10 overrides 0
HYBRID vs FROZEN action comparison: Frozen decisions recorded/comparable 23 | same 11 | different 12 | decision alignment 47.8%
HYBRID vs FROZEN wager comparison: observed wagers 14 | match/above/below 1/12/1 | wager divergence 13/14 (92.9%)
HYBRID DETAIL NUMERIC LOCK — CURRENT SESSION ONLY: Frozen decisions recorded 23 | Hybrid/Frozen comparable decisions 23 | Same decision 11 | Different decision 12 | Decision alignment 47.8% | Wager match/above/below 1/12/1
HYBRID DETAIL ARITHMETIC LOCK: same + different = comparable -> 11 + 12 = 23 PASS | wager match + above + below = observed hands -> 1 + 12 + 1 = 14 PASS
HYBRID DETAIL REFERENCE SAFETY: Session9.png supplies visual/module structure ONLY. If a rendered Hybrid-detail value differs from this CURRENT-SESSION NUMERIC LOCK, NUMERIC AUDIT FAILS and the plate must be corrected before presentation.
SESSION-9 HYBRID DETAIL MODULE: REQUIRED visual module precedent for this Hybrid session. Use Session 9 only to enrich the left Hybrid-vs-Frozen analytical block; do not use it as a whole-plate template and never inherit Session 9 numbers.
Wager match/above/below 1/12/1
Action match/different 11/12
Shuffle events explicitly observed: 1
Total cards recorded: 80
Cards since most recent observed shuffle/start: 80
Validation warnings/overrides encountered: 14
Hands re-entered through amendment review: 1
Observed shuffle boundaries: Shuffle observed before hand 1 after 0 recorded cards since previous start/shuffle.

================ SESSION SUMMARY — RUNNING P/L BAR CANDIDATES =================
Observed HYBRID: -£100.00
Frozen Reference: N/A | SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE | last source-supported £40.00
Frozen synthetic-reference profile | RISK 60.358 | JOURNEY 38.175 | Survival 53.711 | Path Exposure 33.102 | Recovery Activity 27.711 | inputs: maxDD £105.00 | giveback £90.00 | cumulative wager £240.00 | absolute movement £240.00 | recovery episodes 1 | successful 0 | recovery ratio 0.000000 | table_exit 0
Fixed-Policy Casual: N/A | SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE | last source-supported £55.00
Casual synthetic-reference profile | RISK 56.951 | JOURNEY 37.529 | Survival 53.711 | Path Exposure 31.165 | Recovery Activity 27.711 | inputs: maxDD £105.00 | giveback £75.00 | cumulative wager £225.00 | absolute movement £225.00 | recovery episodes 1 | successful 0 | recovery ratio 0.000000 | table_exit 0
Stat-Watching Casual: Chosen behavioural path: hands 8 | bankroll £55.00 | W/L/P 3/5/0 | exposure £135.00 | termination BEHAVIOURAL_EXIT | chosen exit Hand 8 at £55.00
Ultimate AI: Ultimate AI: hands 10 | bankroll £25.00 | P/L £-75.00 | W/L/P 3/7/0 | exposure £165.00 | termination AI_EXIT | SOURCE-COMPLETE

================ FORMAL-START / CONTEXT EVIDENCE =================

================ HYBRID FORMAL-START COUNTERFACTUAL | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================
PURPOSE: replay the unchanged Frozen and fixed Casual policies from the same formal-session starting captured cardstream. The observed Hybrid journey remains separate and authoritative for what was actually played.
Captured formal chronology available: 79 blackjack-replayable cards (rank known; any U suit remains unresolved). Each policy consumes independently; no card rank or settlement is invented.
Frozen from formal start: outcome N/A | hands 14 | W/L/P 6/8/0 | exposure £240.00 | cards consumed 79 | termination SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE | last source-supported bankroll £40.00
Frozen synthetic-reference profile | RISK 60.358 | JOURNEY 38.175 | Survival 53.711 | Path Exposure 33.102 | Recovery Activity 27.711 | inputs: maxDD £105.00 | giveback £90.00 | cumulative wager £240.00 | absolute movement £240.00 | recovery episodes 1 | successful 0 | recovery ratio 0.000000 | table_exit 0
Casual from formal start: outcome N/A | hands 14 | W/L/P 6/8/0 | exposure £225.00 | cards consumed 79 | termination SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE | last source-supported bankroll £55.00
Casual synthetic-reference profile | RISK 56.951 | JOURNEY 37.529 | Survival 53.711 | Path Exposure 31.165 | Recovery Activity 27.711 | inputs: maxDD £105.00 | giveback £75.00 | cumulative wager £225.00 | absolute movement £225.00 | recovery episodes 1 | successful 0 | recovery ratio 0.000000 | table_exit 0
Publication rule: if a replay is NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE, its outcome is N/A; the displayed bankroll is only the last source-supported bankroll. Risk/Journey remain synthetic-reference profile outputs for the source-supported path, not completed-outcome claims.
================ END HYBRID FORMAL-START COUNTERFACTUAL | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================

================ STAT-WATCHING / ULTIMATE-AI EVIDENCE =================

================ STAT-WATCHING CASUAL | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================
EXPERIMENT STATUS: EXPLORATORY COUNTERFACTUAL / DETERMINISTIC / QUARANTINED FROM FROZEN-vs-CASUAL SCORECARD
REPLAY BASIS: FORMAL_START
VISIBLE-EVIDENCE RULE: wager and exit decisions use only completed prior-hand evidence visible to the player; no future cards, shoe composition, or unrevealed dealer hole card is consulted. A hole-card hunch may affect a current play decision only after the dealer up-card is visible and only from previously revealed hole-card history.
POLICY: ordinary wager £15; rare evidence-triggered 2x/3x/4x presses; rolling last-five-hand table impression; deterministic walk-away rule from Hand 8 onward. Existing Casual and Frozen policies are unchanged.
STAY POLICY: the stay-at-table counterfactual keeps the SAME Stat-Watching Casual personality, wager logic, hunch logic and play policy; only the behavioural walk-away trigger is disabled. It never switches to Frozen style.
Chosen behavioural path: hands 8 | bankroll £55.00 | W/L/P 3/5/0 | exposure £135.00 | termination BEHAVIOURAL_EXIT | chosen exit Hand 8 at £55.00
Stay-at-table counterfactual: hands 14 | bankroll £55.00 | W/L/P 6/8/0 | exposure £225.00 | termination SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE
Exit value versus staying: N/A unless a behavioural exit occurs and the stay-at-table replay is source-complete.
PATH_CHOSEN: H0=100.00;H1=115.00;H2=130.00;H3=115.00;H4=85.00;H5=70.00;H6=55.00;H7=70.00;H8=55.00
PATH_STAY: H0=100.00;H1=115.00;H2=130.00;H3=115.00;H4=85.00;H5=70.00;H6=55.00;H7=70.00;H8=55.00;H9=40.00;H10=25.00;H11=40.00;H12=55.00;H13=70.00;H14=55.00
INFLUENCE | H8 | EXIT | walked away at £55.00 • last 5 hands: low cards 29%, 10-value cards 32%, W/L 1/4 • drawdown from peak £75.00
Publication boundary: exploratory side experiment only. Do not award established Frozen/Casual scorecard percentiles or alter the main comparison from this block without a later declared research phase.
================ END STAT-WATCHING CASUAL | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================

================ ULTIMATE AI | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================
AI POLICY: ULTIMATE-AI-V1-FROZEN-WEIGHTED-GATE | deterministic | Frozen baseline | repository through Session 12
REPLAY BASIS: FORMAL_START
TEMPORAL BOUNDARY: only repository evidence through Session 12 plus evidence visible before each current decision was available. Session 13 completed outcomes were not in the repository during this replay.
V1 GATE: Frozen wins weak evidence and ties. Action/wager overrides require convergent predeclared support; scorecard/percentile similarity has zero live-decision weight until a predecision-safe mapping exists.
Ultimate AI: hands 10 | bankroll £25.00 | P/L £-75.00 | W/L/P 3/7/0 | exposure £165.00 | termination AI_EXIT | SOURCE-COMPLETE
Frozen same-basis comparator: hands 14 | bankroll N/A | P/L N/A | exposure £240.00 | termination SOURCE_EXHAUSTED | NOT SOURCE-COMPLETE
OVERRIDES: action 0 | wager 0 | exit 1
PATH_AI: H0=100.00;H1=115.00;H2=130.00;H3=115.00;H4=85.00;H5=70.00;H6=55.00;H7=70.00;H8=55.00;H9=40.00;H10=25.00
AI_OVERRIDE | H10 EXIT | bankroll £25.00 | trend -2 | drawdown £105.00
Publication boundary: experimental synthesis controller. Descriptive deterministic comparison only; no claim of casino advantage, card prediction or guaranteed profitability.
================ END ULTIMATE AI | SESSION 20260917_183148 ================

================ SHUFFLE ROBUSTNESS A–H — 5,000 PAIRED REPLAYS EACH =================
A | Observed-card permutation: shuffle only the captured session-card reservoir; no cards added.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 95.00 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 101.13 | Casual 99.62 | £200 reach Frozen 14.58% | Casual 7.76% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 236.85 | Casual 219.89 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 63.04 | Casual 57.97 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 340.00 | Casual 302.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.6110
B | Full six-deck RNG: generate and uniformly shuffle a fresh 312-card six-deck shoe.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 80.00 | Casual 92.50 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 99.52 | Casual 96.91 | £200 reach Frozen 30.12% | Casual 20.12% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 450.70 | Casual 413.83 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 92.90 | Casual 83.79 | 30-hand completion Frozen 3348 | Casual 3519 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 512.50 | Casual 437.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ 7.58 | Mean action difference 1.1480
C1 | Penetration 50%: captured reservoir; reshuffle only remaining cards between hands at 50%.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 100.00 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 103.27 | Casual 101.91 | £200 reach Frozen 15.46% | Casual 7.86% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 237.14 | Casual 219.57 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 62.47 | Casual 57.22 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 325.00 | Casual 310.00 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.6124
C2 | Penetration 65%: captured reservoir; reshuffle only remaining cards between hands at 65%.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 92.50 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 100.91 | Casual 99.11 | £200 reach Frozen 15.50% | Casual 7.60% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 236.07 | Casual 219.31 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 62.60 | Casual 57.82 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 355.00 | Casual 317.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.5856
C3 | Penetration 75%: captured reservoir; reshuffle only remaining cards between hands at 75%.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 97.50 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 103.04 | Casual 102.19 | £200 reach Frozen 14.78% | Casual 7.80% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 236.81 | Casual 219.58 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 62.37 | Casual 56.93 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 347.50 | Casual 332.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.5928
C4 | Penetration 80%: captured reservoir; reshuffle only remaining cards between hands at 80%.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 95.00 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 102.68 | Casual 101.48 | £200 reach Frozen 14.68% | Casual 7.20% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 236.78 | Casual 219.70 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 62.50 | Casual 57.36 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 347.50 | Casual 317.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.5996
D | Physical-style proxy: captured reservoir with deterministic riffle/strip/cut-style mixing.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 100.00 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 104.05 | Casual 102.99 | £200 reach Frozen 15.40% | Casual 8.34% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 238.33 | Casual 220.74 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 61.77 | Casual 56.40 | 30-hand completion Frozen 0 | Casual 0 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 317.50 | Casual 347.50 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ N/A | Mean action difference 0.5818
E | Automatic/continuous proxy: captured reservoir; after each complete hand, used cards return and the full reservoir is remixed.
Median bankroll £ Frozen 92.50 | Casual 100.00 | Mean bankroll £ Frozen 106.33 | Casual 103.47 | £200 reach Frozen 31.78% | Casual 22.70% | Mean exposure £ Frozen 452.91 | Casual 416.06 | Mean maxDD £ Frozen 89.43 | Casual 81.44 | 30-hand completion Frozen 3519 | Casual 3645 | Highest final bankroll £ Frozen 445.00 | Casual 400.00 | Paired final-bankroll difference £ 6.86 | Mean action difference 1.1686

================ SESSION 10+ STANDARD PLATE ARCHITECTURE =================
TOP BAR: mandatory full-width SESSION SUMMARY — RUNNING PROFIT / LOSS (ALL PLAYERS). Use only current-session verified P/L or evidence-state wording. Controller completion/exit status belongs in this bar; do not duplicate Ultimate-AI final/status in the main header.
HEADER: retain shuffle/entry context at left, main title, and Journey ID at far right. Header is session-level identification, not a second controller-result area.
OBSERVED SCORECARD PRECEDENT: if the current Observed/Hybrid/Personal journey is a complete source-supported 30-hand path, show its OWN independently computed Risk and Journey in the main observed-player panel. Use the canonical complete-observed archetype treatment where applicable, while retaining the global five-controller running-P/L bar when supported.
FORMAL-START MIDDLE: when supported, show BOTH Risk and Journey beside BOTH Frozen and Casual rows. Large score row is exactly RISK SCORE | JOURNEY INTENSITY SCORE and must align cleanly; do not add a third duplicate Journey box.
BOTTOM FOUR PANELS: KEY FINDINGS | MOST SIGNIFICANT OBSERVATIONS | ROBUSTNESS INTERPRETATION | OVERALL CONCLUSION. These panels primarily interpret the robustness table; routine audit housekeeping stays beside the evidence it qualifies.
PROTECTED ANALYSIS SPACE: do not obtain room for new modules by shrinking the bottom analytical area or reducing its established readable text. Increase canvas height if necessary.
WRITTEN CHATGPT SUMMARY: explicitly report running P/L/evidence status for every controller shown in the top bar.

POST-RENDER GATE: audit every number and substantive label against this manifest plus authoritative evidence. Plate remains PENDING until that audit passes.
